Russia’s Military Intervention In Ukraine, its impacts On US

Author : Ulfat Ahmad

MPhil International Relations

Quaid-e-Azam University Islamabad Pakistan

Ukraine’s crisis continued intensify due to  former president Viktor Yanukovych cancelled his decision of signing association agreements with European union in November 2013.Moreover as a result a Russian invasion in Ukraine and a civil war in eastern Europe .Owing to military invasion of Russia a political change abrupt, due to this abruption of conflict not only Ukraine disturbed but international community (USA) was also effectuated  because the relations between the united states and its western allies on one  road and the other road Russia that plummeted stage not seen since the cold war. After the demise of Soviet Union, 1991, Russia was facing unpleasant possibilities at International environment , worst case scenario was socio-  economic crisis and political instability at domestic level. The arrival of the presidency of Vladimir Putin consequensed in good performance in critical situations that was characterized in nintes. Although Putin want internationally relaunch Russia, if not in global actor but also at the major regional power. Nonetheless, Russia emerged in hegemonic style, intervened in Georgia 2008 and then military intervention in Ukraine in 2014.

Hence, political attention of USA and its focused on European dynamics in terms of soviet leadership influence in continent , American presidency moved for strategic interest and in order to limit international ambitions put sanctions on Russia .” During those days, it was clear to the White House that it could not rely on either a response capabilities of the European Union, as evidenced by the appointment of the former Polish President Alek sander Kwasniewski as special representative for the Ukraine crisis, or an increase of support for the new Ukrainian government, too subject to the moods of the crowd and influenced by ideologically anti-Russian components”  . The economic sanctions also proved a short-lived boomerang effect for Russia because few of states willingly want to apply them effectively against importantly economic and political players whose dominance cause dangerous! So, sanctions played a role economic difficulties in Russia :energy sanctions , political sanctions and social sanctions .these sanctions prohibit western financial institutions from providing long term loan to Russia! These financial sanctions cut off Russia from global financial flows.

With the combination of structural impediments, lower oil prices, and sanctions, the World Bank estimates that Russia’s economy will now contract by around 2.9 percent in 2015”  . Very cautious estimate “ the Russian Finance Ministry estimated a 4.7 percent contraction in 2015, assuming oil averaged $60 per barrel. Some economists have forecasted the contraction for 2015 to be close to double digits”

However, Russian’s military intervention in Ukraine and USA effectuated in many ways: major security interest for both USA and its allies, impact on bilateral relations USA-RUSSIA .the most fundamental USA interest was affected by Russia intervening Ukraine was center of European security. So, Russia also play important role in middle east to prevent Iran for developing nuclear capabilities, on the other hand USA also reluctant see Russia as major actor in Asia pacific region. “Obama’s theory here is simple: Ukraine is a core Russian interest but not an American one, so Russia will always be able to maintain escalatory dominance there.”   Instead of this, USA’s support to Ukraine create difficulties for it in terms of sino-russian reltaions that were the expansionist policy. So in that context, US-RUSSAIN’s relations were deteriorated day by day . As long as Russia defend itself to oppose the west got victory in Ukraine crisis.

Neverthless,  multiple sanctions, diplomatic initiatives , foreign  assistance  unofficial engagement crisis showed no signs of end even Moscow felt itself isolated at international level. Meanwhile, a conflict cannot be solved by military  means , political solution will only get properly by negotiations , mediation  etc  therefore referendum held in Ukraine . This referendum went to favour for Russia fortunately and once again Russian’s dominance was reemerged at international level.